Economic Collapse Risk Monitor

The Economic Collapse Risk Monitor protects Earth and humanity by tracking signals of financial instability, debt crises, market crashes, and systemic shocks. Economic breakdowns can fuel unrest, poverty, and global insecurity. By scanning news, data, and policy updates in 12 languages, the Monitor detects early warning signs and translates them into clear, real-time risk scores. Its mission is to help governments, institutions, and communities prepare, adapt, and respond before crises escalate. Supporting Obxerver Earth's mission, it safeguards societies and ecosystems from the ripple effects of collapse.
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Economic Risk Breakdown

Methodology

Our Economic Collapse Risk Monitor employs a comprehensive real-time analysis framework that processes 150+ news articles across 10 critical economic categories to assess systemic collapse risks:

Risk Categories (Equal Weight Analysis)

  • Macro Growth: GDP contraction, recession indicators, economic growth patterns
  • Inflation & Monetary: Inflation rates, interest rate changes, monetary policy impacts
  • Labor & Income: Unemployment levels, job market conditions, wage trends
  • Sovereign & Fiscal: Government debt levels, fiscal policy, sovereign credit risks
  • Banking & Credit: Banking sector stability, credit availability, financial institution health
  • Markets & Liquidity: Stock market performance, liquidity conditions, market volatility
  • External & FX: Currency stability, foreign exchange trends, capital flows
  • Housing & Household: Real estate markets, household debt, housing affordability
  • Corporate Sector: Corporate earnings, business failures, sector performance
  • Trade & Supply: International trade, supply chain stability, export/import trends

Analysis Process

  • Multilingual Data Collection: Real-time news analysis across 12 languages (English, French, Spanish, German, Italian, Hebrew, Arabic, Norwegian, Chinese, Russian, Japanese, Korean) with 15+ articles per category
  • Comprehensive Keyword Matching: Multiple keyword sets per category to capture diverse economic indicators and risk signals
  • Enhanced Sentiment Analysis: Dual sentiment scoring using positive and negative keyword detection with ratio-based risk calculation
  • Risk Scoring: Sentiment ratios converted to 0-100 risk scale with equal-weight category averaging for overall score
  • Real-time Processing: Live news fetching with immediate analysis and display updates

Risk Levels

  • Low Risk (0-24): Stable economic conditions with minimal collapse indicators
  • Moderate Risk (25-49): Some economic stress signals present but manageable
  • High Risk (50-74): Significant economic vulnerabilities with elevated collapse probability
  • Critical Risk (75-100): Severe economic distress with imminent collapse potential